Love three games today. Bal (-11) against cle, det (+11) against min, and SD (-5 1/2) against sea.

Monday Night Football

A double dip tonight in the NFL and I have two words for the smart betters: Stay Away. The Chargers are notorious for being slow starters, and the Chiefs are just plain awful. This game could go any direction and I don't suggest betting any part of it. Same goes with the Jets/Ravens. Both the Ravens and Jets are doing lots of trash talking for a lot of stuff that was done ON PAPER. In reality, no one knows how Flacco will gel with his bevy of new receivers. Additionally, Sanchez was a terrible QB in the regular season last year. If the playoffs Sanchez shows up, then the Jets are in business. I don't believe that Sanchez will be moving the ball well against a motivated, talented, and prepared Ravens defense. If you had to bet on something for this game, take the under on visible, televised curse words coming from Rex Ryan's mouth.

Love the Alabama line. Penn state starting frosh qb IN ALABAMA.

Watch for the line in Washington vs Syracuse game. Like it if 14 and under. Love the first half line of -7

Loving lsu, Florida state and and the over in Michigan/nd

Pre-Flight Thoughts

1. Why is Tampa Bay giving points to anybody? Currently, Sheridan's line in the USA Today has TB giving three points to Cleveland (one of the hottest teams at the end of last year).

2. If you have Jerome Harrison on your fantasy team, start him.

3. Since when was Buffalo even close to as good as Miami? Miami is only giving three points on most betting lines. It is assumed that three points are awarded to the home team for home field advantage, so this means that Buffalo is only three points worse than Miami. Not even close. Buffalo could be one of the worst constructed teams in the NFL. I took Miami for survivor this week, lets put it that way...

4. Why is the average pilot's starting salary less than someone who works in a consumer electronics store?

5. Since when was wearing UGG boots and a miniskirt ok? Especially when it's neither raining, snowing, or night time at a club. That is just a load of bad decisions in one place.

6. ACC might have a big weekend on the betting lines. Like Miami and Florida State covering this weekend. Wait until the last minute to see the lines though..

7. Was not packing any shorts a bad idea for Vegas?

Vikings vs. Saints

Stay away from this game because it is too unpredictable given the injuries to the Minnesota offense, but it you HAVE to bet it take the under on the 49 1/2. Not because the Saints won't score, but the Vikings won't. When Favre is forced to throw all night (and he will be), he will throw interceptions. Additionally, take NO and give the six points. Sean Peyton has always been one of the best preparation coaches even going back to his days as the Offensive coordinator of the NY Giants. HERE WE GO EVERYONE.

Packing for flight to LV. Over/under is 2 for pre-flight freak outs.

NFL Survivor Weekend 1

It's the most wonderful time of the year. NFL week 1. The weekend that everyone still thinks they have a chance. I will be traveling to Vegas for the festivities and will keep you updated throughout the weekend. Believe it or not, this is not the best weekend to because there aren't many good spreads, but I will find the few for you to lock up a profit-filled weekend. Up first, survivor pool picks.

After perusing this week's slate of NFL games, there are only two survivor picks of any value to me. As you know, you want to pick a winner, but you also want to pick a winner you don't foresee picking again later in the year. Therefore, the Miami Dolphins and Arizona Cardinals pose good values this week. Arizona is a tricky team to figure out this year, but their best chance to have a definite win is week 1 at St. Louis. I do believe that St. Louis will be better than Arizona at the end of the year, but only have Sam Bradford has had more experience under center.

Miami plays at Buffalo who may be on the clock for the 2011 draft already. Not only is this game good for survivor, but Miami is only -3 according to bodog.com!! We'll get to the spreads later, but along with being the favorite, Miami (plus the rest of the AFC East) has a very difficult schedule so the Dolphins won't be a team that has a good matchup every week. Miami will have to play four tough division games along with having to play the AFC North, and they get Green Bay sprinkled in there too. This is one of the few games that I would even consider picking Miami in in a survivor situation, so why hold onto maybe later when I have right now. Take Miami.