Friday, October 7, 2011

What I Think I Know: NFL Week 5

Even Steven
Another average week last week but we are still 7-5 for the season and 4-0 on eliminator picks.  Lets not flirt with the Even Steven line and head towards what we all seek: profit.

NostraDovus Picks of the Week:

New York Jets (+9) @ New England Patriots
Detroit Lions (-6) vs. Chicago Bears

The Dovus has realigned his Mayan calendars and has bet against the Patriots again!  Many things he is not, but persistent he is.  However, the stars are officially aligning for the Lions now.  Both games will be wildly entertaining and I have to agree on both picks.  However, I'm not betting on either...division games are always so tricky.  Here are the games worth betting on.

You Can Bet On It

Eliminator Pick: New York Giants.  The Gmen get the Seattle Seachickens at home and have the largest point spread of the weekend (10 1/2).  Rumor has it that Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora will start, but even if the Giants only have one of them, it will be enough to make Seattle QB Tavaris Jackson worry himself into a couple of turnovers.  A backup pick would be the San Diego Chargers, Houston Texans, and New Orleans Saints if you haven't used them already.

San Diego Chargers (-4) @ Denver Broncos: I know this is a division game, and those can always be tricky, but this line does not reflect the "eye test." When I watch these two teams play, the Chargers look infinitely better than the Broncos, and it's not the Broncos fault.  Denver fans will be calling for a third string QB to come in and continue to deflate the first string team that is on the field.  Willis McGahee has been a nice surprise for the Broncos, but the Chargers have been monsters against the run this year not allowing a 100 yard rusher yet.  The Chargers are starting a three game road swing that needs to get started off on the right foot.  Take the Bolts and give the points.  Final Score: San Diego 27, Denver 16.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) @ Buffalo Bills: The Bills have burned me every week, I gotta get one of these right.  The Eagles are having a San Diego Chargers-esque start to the season (1-3 but supremely talented), but the clock has struck October and the real Eagles will stand up.  Look for the Eagles to pile on the offense in the first half and hold on for dear life in the second half with one defensive stop to end the game.  Final Score: Philadelphia 34, Buffalo 30.

Houston Texans (-6) vs. Oakland Raiders: The Raiders defense got exposed against the Patriots, and the Texans can take advantage of the Raiders fly-by-night style.  Look for running back Arian Foster to have a HUGE day leading the Texans.  Oakland is going to get worn down by the Texans running game early and will run out of gas late from constantly being on the field.  Final Score: Houston 29, Oakland 20.

New Orleans Saints (-7) @ Carolina Panthers: Carolina is better than expected, but so are the Saints.  Darren Sproles has injected what Reggie Bush was supposed to inject into the Saints offense.  Look for the Panthers tight ends to continue to catch a ton of passes with the Saints cover 2 shell, but Saints linebacker Jonathan Vilma has the speed to spy Carolina's rookie-of-the-year quarterback Cam Newton to "limit" him enough to cover the spread.  Final Score: New Orleans 38, Carolina 30.

1 comment:

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