Thursday, October 13, 2011

What I Think I Know: NFL Week 6

As Vince Lombardi famously said, "what the hell is goin' on out there?"  1-3 last week and my eliminator pick (Giants) spit the bit.  That is no good like Scott Norwood.  It is unacceptable and, like Mike Vick, I take full responsibility for my 8-8 record for the season so far.  However, if you listened to NostraDovus, you went 1-0-1 last week and 1-2-1 for the season (he had his up-to-date Mayan calendars).  There are some unbelievable lines this weekend begging to be taken advantage of.  Here we go.

Eliminator Pick: Green Bay Packers (+15 1/2) vs. St Louis Rams, Pittsburgh Steelers (+13) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, or Cincinnati Bengals (+7) vs. Indiannapolis Colts.  Although the Giants inexplicably lost to the Seahawks last week, if  you are still in any survivor/eliminator pool, those three are the biggest spreads of the weekend, and you should go with one of them, if you can.


Dallas Cowboys (+7) @ New England Patriots: I'm not saying the the Cowboys are going to win, so don't go all-in with the Cowboys, but (like the cheerleaders) have a nice spread.  Dallas is coming off of a bye where Romo got to rest his ribs/lungs and the rest of the team had the chance to get one week healthier.  This just in, the Patriots are really bad on defense.  This game has the potential to be a shootout, which is a bad way to try and beat the Patriots, but it is a good strategy to stay within 7 points.  Final Score: Dallas 30, New England 35

Indianapolis Colts (+7) @ Cincinnati Bengals: Once again, I do not expect the Colts to win (even though it would surprise me), but Cincinnati does not have an offense that will blow anyone out.  Additionally, Colts quarterback Curtis Painter (and his golden lochs) has improved every week and has really developed a nice chemistry with receiver Pierre Garcon.  Final Score: Indiannapolis 16, Cincinnati 17

Carolina Panthers (+4) @ Atlanta Falcons: I'm not giving more than three points to the Panthers as long as Cam Newton is their starter.  Newton has the ability to keep any game close (even against the Saints last week), and last week was the last time I will get burned by it.  I am going to call for the upset here because Atlanta has zero identity on offense and Carolina knows exactly what they are trying to do.  Final Score: Carolina 26, Atlanta 24

Chicago Bears (-3) vs. Minnesota Vikings: I think Vegas is overreacting to Minnesota's dominating performance last week against the Buccaneers.  Chicago, even on the short week, will not let its defense to be embarrassed again by long, gashing runs like it did against Lions running back Jahvid Best.  Furthermore, Jay Cutler had his best performance of the year last week and will build on it against a lackluster Vikings pass defense.  Final Score: Chicago 24, Minnesota 17

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