Thursday, October 11, 2012

2012 NFL Week Six Against the Spread

Last Week I said to tread lightly, and I was right.  Eight of the lines were determined by three points or fewer, providing betters with heart pounding action until the very last second.  Last week was kind of a disaster, going 6-8 with a pitiful 1-4 in the dunks, but I did say that I had trouble coming up with five picks.  However, this is a new week and there are some good bets to make.  Just in case you have not read, I'm also terrible at MLB prognostication, as well.  I hope you all followed my advice and bet against me.  Anyway, this is a new week in the NFL and we are going to make some profit.  Enjoy the picks.

Home TeamAway TeamSpread SbG's Pick
Tennessee TitansPittsburgh SteelersTennessee (+6)PIT
Cleveland BrownsCincinnati BengalsCleveland (+3)CIN
New York JetsIndianapolis ColtsNew York (-2)IND
Tampa Bay BuccaneersKansas City ChiefsTampa Bay (-4)TB
Atlanta FalconsOakland RadiersAtlanta (-9)ATL
Baltimore RavensDallas CowboysBaltimore (-4)BAL
Philadelphia EaglesDetroit LionsPhiladelphia (-4)DET
Miami DolphinsSt. Louis RamsMiami (-3.5)STL
Seattle SeahawksNew England PatriotsSeattle (+4)SEA
Arizona CardinalsBuffalo BillsArizona (-5)BUF
Washington RedskinsMinnesota VikingsWashington (-1.5)WSH
San Francisco 49ersNew York GiantsSan Francisco (-3)SF
Houston TexansGreen Bay PackersHouston (-3)HOU
San Diego ChargersDenver BroncosSan Diego (-1.5)DEN
Last Week6 - 8

Slam Dunks: 9-10 overall
  1. Pittsburgh (-6) @ Tennessee: Tennessee has a habit of making opposing QBs have their season-best performance, and Big Ben will not have to depend on a late stat correction to get a TD pass in this one.  Pittsburgh's defense will be shorthanded, but has enough leftover talent to take care of the pitiful Titans offense who does not have a single dependable fantasy option.  Pittsburgh 33, Tennessee 20
  2. St. Louis Rams (+3.5) @ Miami Dolphins: BrotherByGotti (@davegot) has been burned by the Jeff Fisher-led Rams every week this year that I think even he is going to come around on this one.  The Rams have the makings of a 9-7 team, which is the average record of every team Jeff Fisher coached.  In a game that doesn't feature too much talent anywhere, I'll take the combination of Bradford/Fisher in St. Louis over Tannehill/Philbin in Miami.  St. Louis 24, Miami 22
  3. Atlanta Falcons (-9) vs. Oakland Raiders: Here's the only explanation you need for this game.  Oakland is terrible.  Even their inventions are garbage (I'm looking at you, Whistle Tips).  Atlanta 41, Oakland 17
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs: The only reason I'm showing confidence in Tampa Bay is twofold: 1) The Bucs had two weeks to prepare and 2) Brady Quinn is the likely starter for Kansas City.  Backup QBs vs. defenses coming off of a bye does not a winning recipe make.  Tampa 17, Kansas City 10
  5. Baltimore Ravens (-4) vs. Dallas Cowboys: This is not an indictment on the Cowboys, who I am not too impressed with, anyway.  Rather, it's an endorsement on how good Baltimore is.  Yes, they were terrible last week against KC, but they still won.  The offense will be better this weekend, and say what you will about stalwarts Ed Reed and Ray Lewis, but they make plays for the Balitmore defense when it is needed most.  Baltimore 24, Dallas 16 


  1. I'm picking STL this week, I'm a believer. I still can't take Seattle even though they're home. I'm still not sold on them. I think NE makes Russel Wilson cry

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