Thursday, October 25, 2012

Week 8 Against the Spread: D'OH!

One word to describe last week: D'OH!  Simply terrible.

Okay, now that we described last week (3-8-2) (1-4 on dunks), let's move to next week, shall we?  We have taken a much more conservative approach, even backing the Jags (getting 13 on the road).  

Away TeamHome TeamSpread (home team)SbG's Pick
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMinnesota Vikings-6.5MIN
New England PatriotsSt Louis Rams*7STL
Indianapolis ColtsTennessee Titans-3.5IND
Jacksonville JaguarsGreen Bay Packers-13JAX
San Diego ChargersCleveland Browns2.5SD
Atlanta FalconsPhiladelphia Eagles-2.5ATL
Seattle SeahawksDetroit Lions-2.5DET
Miami DolphinsNew York Jets-2.5NYJ
Carolina PanthersChicago Bears-7.5CHI
Washington RedskinsPittsburgh Steelers-4.5WAS
Oakland RaidersKansas City Chiefs-2OAK
New York GiantsDallas Cowboys1.5NYG
New Orleans SaintsDenver Broncos-6NO
San Francisco 49ersArizona Cardinals6.5ARZ
Last Week3-8-2
*Game in London

Slam Dunks (1-4 last week) (10-14 season): Yikes.  No need to hit the panic button yet.  Plenty of time to establish profit, and there are some good opportunities here.

  1. New Orleans Saints (-6) @ Denver Broncos: It's hard to consider Drew Brees and that offense a six-point underdog to anyone, and especially not to a very beatable Denver Broncos team that (as @davegot loves to point out) constantly spots opposing teams 14 points.  As it turns out, you can spot my Chargers 24 points, and Norv and the boys will still find ways to find a gun to shoot themselves in the foot with.  Talk about turrible....  Anyway, The Saints are on a two-game winning streak and it would not surprise me at all if they make it three here, but we're playing it safe this week. Saints 28, Broncos 30.
  2. San Diego Chargers (-2.5) @ Cleveland Browns: Speaking of the Chargers...if they can't beat the Browns by more than a field goal, they may not even make the 7-9 prediction I had for them at the beginning of the year.   Rivers should have a big day for fantasy owners and have at least 265 yds, 2tds, 1int.  Anything more than that is gravy and anything less is unacceptable.  Espeically coming off a bye.  Chargers 31, Browns 20
  3. Chicago Bears (-7.5) vs. Carolina Panthers: Sweetheart, I don't think the Panthers have a chance in this one.  I have backed them multiple times in the past and have been burned.  The Bears defense is the last defense you want to see right now.  They force you into undisciplined plays, and Cam Newton has found himself under a microscope this year making undisciplined plays.  The Panthers should get some garbage time points to make it look closer than it will be, but back the Bears.  Bears 26, Panthers 16 
  4. New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys (-2.5): The difference maker in the first game for Dallas to open the season was DeMarco Murray.  He's out.  Sean Lee also had a tremendous game on the defensive side of the ball making sure everyone was where they should be and making plays individually.  He's out.  The Giants also have added motivation to make sure they are not swept by the Cowboys, which would give the Cowboys the drivers seat towards winning the division.  Plus, the Jerrydome is not much of a home field advantage.  Giants 20, Cowboys 15
  5. Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles: I know, Andy Reid's record is really, really good coming off of a bye, but I think that this good record, like Reid's career in Philly, goes down this year. And it's not his fault (entirely). See below: Falcons 24, Eagles 23
one-does-not-simply-a - One does not simply turn the ball over unless you're mike vick

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